Gnich62 x Matt

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$165.38
331 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
33.83%
88 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
8 openings · below min
7 days
32 openings · below min
30 days
88 openings · below min
since tracking started
88 openings · below min
-0.5%48.3%97.0%

Small sample. 88 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h84.58%±2.21—sample
7d3234.68%±61.7—sample
30d8833.83%±33.5—sample
All8833.83%±33.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · Immortal$165331 coins$1,6723,343 coins10.11x

Latest dropsnewest first

MP9 | Music Box (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$165331 coins$9.8519.69 coins0.06x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$165331 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$165331 coins$12.2524.49 coins0.07x
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient$165331 coins$4.899.78 coins0.03x
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)weapon · pink$165331 coins$9.1418.27 coins0.06x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$165331 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$165331 coins$12.2524.49 coins0.07x
M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$165331 coins$12.2524.49 coins0.07x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$165331 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$165331 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,796 (10.86x)