GNICHGOAT

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$441.93
884 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
125.44%
2,660 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
153.83%±63.971,040 openings
7 days
132.55%±34.542,288 openings
30 days
125.44%±30.582,660 openings
since tracking started
125.44%±30.582,660 openings
89.0%153.8%218.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,040153.83%±64.0—sample
7d2,288132.55%±34.5—sample
30d2,660125.44%±30.6—sample
All2,660125.44%±30.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$442884 coins$73.5K147,047 coins166.4x
Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$442884 coins$72.4K144,822 coins163.9x
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$442884 coins$52.4K104,780 coins118.5x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary$442884 coins$36.3K72,651 coins82.20x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary$442884 coins$36.3K72,651 coins82.20x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary$442884 coins$36.3K72,651 coins82.20x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary$442884 coins$36.3K72,651 coins82.20x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary$442884 coins$36.3K72,651 coins82.20x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary$442884 coins$36.3K72,651 coins82.20x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary$442884 coins$36.3K72,651 coins82.20x

Latest dropsnewest first

P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$442884 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$442884 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$442884 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$442884 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$442884 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$442884 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$442884 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$442884 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$442884 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$442884 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $73.5K (166.4x)