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A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.20
0.4 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
102.63%
3,402 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
102.90%±50.703,380 openings
30 days
102.63%±50.373,402 openings
since tracking started
102.63%±50.373,402 openings
51.5%103.0%154.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d3,380102.90%±50.7—sample
30d3,402102.63%±50.4—sample
All3,402102.63%±50.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert$0.200.4 coins$100201 coins501.6x
★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covertasSpeed$0.200.4 coins$100201 coins501.6x
★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert$0.200.4 coins$100201 coins501.6x
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$0.200.4 coins$10.0620.12 coins50.30x
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$0.200.4 coins$10.0620.12 coins50.30x
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedasSpeed$0.200.4 coins$10.0620.12 coins50.30x
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$0.200.4 coins$10.0620.12 coins50.30x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Tec-9 | Phoenix Chalk (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.200.4 coins$0.200.4 coins1.00x
Charm | Lil' SAScharm · #4b69ff$0.200.4 coins$0.501 coins2.50x
Tec-9 | Phoenix Chalk (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.200.4 coins$0.200.4 coins1.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffKoip$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.200.4 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $100 (501.6x)