Gold Bricks

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$126.04

252 coins

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $113.43 from 32 items

Observed RTP, 30d

95.10%

46 openings, odds method

Variance

2.9×

of price², per opening

Tail share

20.3%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

79.7%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

4 openings · below min

7 days

38 openings · below min

30 days

46 openings · below min

since tracking started

46 openings · below min

-0.5%156.0%312.5%

Small sample. 46 openings and 9.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	4	145.56%±166.5	—	odds
7d	38	101.46%±54.0	—	odds
30d	46	95.10%±49.1	—	odds
All	46	95.10%±49.1	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 46 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Sticker \| LUCAS1 (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker	1 in 10,000	$7,441 14,883 coins	0.7%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| bondik (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$7,065 14,130 coins	0.6%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| s1mple (Gold) \| Krakow 2017sticker · Extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$6,930 13,859 coins	0.6%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| captainMo (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$5,513 11,026 coins	0.5%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| somebody (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$4,480 8,960 coins	0.4%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| kNgV- (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$4,260 8,520 coins	0.4%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| HEN1 (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$4,137 8,274 coins	0.4%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| keshandr (Gold) \| Krakow 2017sticker · #EB4B4B	1 in 10,000	$3,915 7,830 coins	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Twistzz (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$3,407 6,814 coins	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| ropz (Gold) \| Krakow 2017sticker · Ancient	1 in 10,000	$3,290 6,581 coins	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| seang@res (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$3,155 6,310 coins	0.3%	0	0.0	—
AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$3,126 6,252 coins	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| keev (Gold) \| Krakow 2017sticker	1 in 10,000	$2,948 5,895 coins	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$2,694 5,388 coins	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| suNny (Gold) \| Krakow 2017sticker · Extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$2,528 5,057 coins	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| s1mple (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker · Extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$2,401 4,803 coins	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| kennyS (Gold) \| Krakow 2017sticker · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$2,398 4,797 coins	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Lekr0 (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker	1 in 10,000	$2,318 4,636 coins	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| electronic (Gold) \| Krakow 2017sticker · Sticker	1 in 10,000	$2,190 4,380 coins	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Happy (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker	1 in 10,000	$2,121 4,242 coins	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #EB4B4B	1 in 10,000	$1,860 3,720 coins	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| DD (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$1,751 3,502 coins	0.2%	0	0.0	—
AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$1,749 3,497 coins	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$1,699 3,398 coins	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| LEGIJA (Gold) \| Krakow 2017sticker	1 in 10,000	$1,473 2,947 coins	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| JW (Gold) \| Krakow 2017sticker · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$1,410 2,820 coins	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$1,396 2,792 coins	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| NiKo (Gold) \| Krakow 2017sticker	1 in 10,000	$1,253 2,507 coins	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| mir (Gold) \| Krakow 2017sticker · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$1,250 2,500 coins	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	20.0%	$315 630 coins	55.5%	12	9.2	1.30×
Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New)weapon · covert	39.8%	$60.29 121 coins	21.2%	15	18.3	0.82×
MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New)weapon · restricted	39.9%	$43.68 87.36 coins	15.4%	19	18.4	1.03×

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$126252 coins$315630 coins2.50x20h

MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New)weapon · restricted$126252 coins$43.6887.36 coins0.35x20h

Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New)weapon · covertSanityy$126252 coins$60.29121 coins0.48x20h

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$126252 coins$315630 coins2.50x2d

Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New)weapon · covert$126252 coins$60.29121 coins0.48x2d

MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New)weapon · restricted$126252 coins$43.6887.36 coins0.35x2d

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$126252 coins$315630 coins2.50x2d

MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New)weapon · restricted$126252 coins$43.6887.36 coins0.35x2d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$126	90.00%	32

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 0.1%extraordinary 0.1%Extraordinary 0.0%#EB4B4B 0.0%Ancient 0.0%covert 59.8%Sticker 0.0%restricted 39.9%best hit —