Gold Fever
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$197.43
395 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $177.68 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
36.41%
72 openings, odds method
Variance
5.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 72 openings and 5.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 72 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$197395 coins$1,2932,585 coins6.55x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$197395 coins$1,2932,585 coins6.55x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $197 | 90.00% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 9.0%classified 1.0%extraordinary 3.0%other 1.0%#4b69ff 86.0%best hit $1,301 (6.59x)