Green Envy

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$8.02
16.04 coins
Advertised RTP
89.96%
EV $7.21 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.67%
974 openings, odds method
Variance
11.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 27
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.6%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
66 openings · below min
7 days
81.06%±23.45819 openings
30 days
85.67%±21.51974 openings
since tracking started
85.67%±21.51974 openings
-0.5%54.5%109.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6626.25%±82.6—odds
7d81981.06%±23.5−0.7σodds
30d97485.67%±21.5−0.4σodds
All97485.67%±21.5−0.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 980 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 1,000$506 1,012 coins7.0%01.0—
Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted1 in 500$261 522 coins7.2%22.01.02×
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 286$206 413 coins10.0%53.41.46×
★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 200$101 201 coins7.0%24.90.41×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 150$95.73 191 coins8.8%46.50.61×
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 136$83.53 167 coins8.5%87.21.11×
Souvenir P250 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Mythical1 in 91$54.19 108 coins8.3%910.80.83×
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)weapon · covert · Phase 31 in 80$44.54 89.07 coins7.7%1212.30.98×
USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 67$26.63 53.26 coins5.5%1514.71.02×
SCAR-20 | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 50$23.26 46.51 coins6.4%2519.61.28×
Dual Berettas | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 50$22.69 45.37 coins6.3%2819.61.43×
AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 25$12.01 24.01 coins6.7%3639.20.92×
USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 25$11.22 22.44 coins6.2%4139.21.05×
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 25$7.63 15.26 coins4.2%4739.21.20×
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer77.6%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.1%746760.50.98×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$8.0216.04 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$8.0216.04 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$8.0216.04 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$8.0216.04 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$8.0216.04 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$8.0216.04 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$8.0216.04 coins$12.0124.01 coins1.50x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$8.0216.04 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$8.0216.04 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.96%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$8.0289.96%15
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 1.9%restricted 2.6%classified 10.2%extraordinary 0.7%Mythical 1.1%mil spec 6.0%consumer 77.6%best hit —