Gsus returns %

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$9,832.87
19,666 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
63.40%
86 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
82 openings · below min
7 days
86 openings · below min
30 days
86 openings · below min
since tracking started
86 openings · below min
45.0%64.8%84.5%

Small sample. 86 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h8265.16%±18.8—sample
7d8663.40%±18.0—sample
30d8663.40%±18.0—sample
All8663.40%±18.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$9,83319,666 coins$52.4K104,780 coins5.33x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert$9,83319,666 coins$24.8K49,625 coins2.52x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert$9,83319,666 coins$24.8K49,625 coins2.52x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert$9,83319,666 coins$24.8K49,625 coins2.52x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert$9,83319,666 coins$24.8K49,625 coins2.52x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert$9,83319,666 coins$24.8K49,625 coins2.52x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert$9,83319,666 coins$24.8K49,625 coins2.52x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$9,83319,666 coins$3,4986,995 coins0.36x
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$9,83319,666 coins$3,4986,995 coins0.36x
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$9,83319,666 coins$3,4986,995 coins0.36x
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$9,83319,666 coins$3,4986,995 coins0.36x
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$9,83319,666 coins$3,4986,995 coins0.36x
Sticker | mousesports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$9,83319,666 coins$3,4986,995 coins0.36x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $52.4K (5.33x)