Hail mary
A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.07
4.13 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
246.37%
422 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 422 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Black Pearl$2.074.13 coins$7351,470 coins356.0x
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Black Pearl$2.074.13 coins$7351,470 coins356.0x
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$2.074.13 coins$178356 coins86.24x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Gut Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covertLunarComet2794$2.074.13 coins$61.84124 coins29.94x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $735 (356.0x)