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have some odds m8

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$13.38
26.75 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
79.65%
3,553 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
162 openings · below min
7 days
79.65%±22.293,553 openings
30 days
79.65%±22.293,553 openings
since tracking started
79.65%±22.293,553 openings
0.5%51.5%102.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h16245.31%±44.3—sample
7d3,55379.65%±22.3—sample
30d3,55379.65%±22.3—sample
All3,55379.65%±22.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$13.3826.75 coins$1,4292,858 coins106.8x
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$13.3826.75 coins$1,4292,858 coins106.8x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1$13.3826.75 coins$1,4052,810 coins105.1x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1$13.3826.75 coins$1,4052,810 coins105.1x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1$13.3826.75 coins$1,4052,810 coins105.1x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1$13.3826.75 coins$1,4052,810 coins105.1x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1$13.3826.75 coins$1,4052,810 coins105.1x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1$13.3826.75 coins$1,4052,810 coins105.1x
★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$13.3826.75 coins$7931,585 coins59.27x
★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$13.3826.75 coins$7931,585 coins59.27x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$13.3826.75 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$13.3826.75 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$13.3826.75 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$13.3826.75 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$13.3826.75 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$13.3826.75 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$13.3826.75 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecludas00$13.3826.75 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$13.3826.75 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$13.3826.75 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,429 (106.8x)