Price
$32.40
64.79 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $29.15 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.34%
214 openings, odds method
Variance
8.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
100.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 214 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Phase 3$32.4064.79 coins$379759 coins11.71x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $32.40 | 90.00% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.9%high 0.0%legendary 0.1%epic 0.1%classified 0.8%other 0.3%rare 0.5%Covert 0.5%covert knife 1.0%restricted 95.8%best hit —