High Beam

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$32.40
64.79 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $29.15 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.34%
214 openings, odds method
Variance
8.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
100.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.8%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
24 openings · below min
7 days
86.52%±41.03194 openings
30 days
83.34%±39.07214 openings
since tracking started
83.34%±39.07214 openings
-0.5%116.5%233.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h24116.25%±116.7—odds
7d19486.52%±41.0−0.2σodds
30d21483.34%±39.1−0.3σodds
All21483.34%±39.1−0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 214 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl1 in 10,000$5,754 11,508 coins2.0%00.0—
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high1 in 4,000$3,097 6,194 coins2.7%00.1—
★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 1,000$721 1,443 coins2.5%00.2—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · epic1 in 1,000$579 1,159 coins2.0%00.2—
★ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,000$504 1,008 coins1.7%00.2—
UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 333$385 771 coins4.0%10.6—
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Phase 31 in 333$379 759 coins3.9%10.6—
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 333$379 758 coins3.9%20.6—
AWP | BOOM (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 200$259 519 coins4.4%01.10.00×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · rare1 in 200$253 506 coins4.3%01.10.00×
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 31 in 200$224 449 coins3.8%21.11.87×
★ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 200$217 434 coins3.7%01.10.00×
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Scorched (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 100$150 300 coins5.1%22.10.93×
USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted95.8%$17.02 34.04 coins55.9%206204.91.01×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$32.4064.79 coins$17.0234.04 coins0.53x
USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$32.4064.79 coins$17.0234.04 coins0.53x
USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$32.4064.79 coins$17.0234.04 coins0.53x
USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$32.4064.79 coins$17.0234.04 coins0.53x
USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$32.4064.79 coins$17.0234.04 coins0.53x
USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$32.4064.79 coins$17.0234.04 coins0.53x
USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedfoulito$32.4064.79 coins$17.0234.04 coins0.53x
USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$32.4064.79 coins$17.0234.04 coins0.53x
USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$32.4064.79 coins$17.0234.04 coins0.53x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$32.4090.00%14
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.9%high 0.0%legendary 0.1%epic 0.1%classified 0.8%other 0.3%rare 0.5%Covert 0.5%covert knife 1.0%restricted 95.8%best hit —