Hollow
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.36
2.71 coins
Advertised RTP
89.85%
EV $1.22 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.72%
1,051 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,051 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Elite Build (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 20.0% | $3.12 6.23 coins | 51.2% | 216 | 210.2 | 1.03× |
| M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $2.78 5.55 coins | 22.8% | 119 | 105.1 | 1.13× |
| Tec-9 | Cut Out (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 10.0% | $1.82 3.63 coins | 14.9% | 100 | 105.1 | 0.95× |
| P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 10.0% | $1.28 2.56 coins | 10.5% | 89 | 105.1 | 0.85× |
| SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec | 25.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.5% | 256 | 262.8 | 0.97× |
| MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade | 25.0% | <$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 271 | 262.8 | 1.03× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.85%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.36 | 89.85% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedmil spec 40.0%covert 10.0%milspec 25.0%Consumer Grade 25.0%best hit —