Holo Printer

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$129.84

260 coins

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $116.85 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d

81.33%

1,488 openings, odds method

Variance

37.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 13

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

83.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

68.01%±102.20136 openings

7 days

82.35%±31.811,404 openings

30 days

81.33%±30.901,488 openings

since tracking started

81.33%±30.901,488 openings

-0.5%85.3%171.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	136	68.01%±102.2	−0.4σ	odds
7d	1,404	82.35%±31.8	−0.5σ	odds
30d	1,488	81.33%±30.9	−0.6σ	odds
All	1,488	81.33%±30.9	−0.6σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,488 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · legendary	1 in 10,000	$72.4K 144,822 coins	6.2%	0	0.1	—
Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · legendary	1 in 667	$5,306 10,611 coins	6.8%	1	2.2	0.45×
Sticker \| Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 200	$2,539 5,078 coins	10.9%	8	7.4	1.08×
Sticker \| Fnatic (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 100	$1,437 2,874 coins	12.3%	13	14.9	0.87×
Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare	1 in 50	$462 923 coins	7.9%	31	29.8	1.04×
Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified	1 in 25	$393 786 coins	13.4%	67	59.5	1.13×
Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 25	$311 623 coins	10.7%	56	59.5	0.94×
Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial	1 in 20	$188 376 coins	8.0%	76	74.4	1.02×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Graven (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · SMGs	1 in 20	$99.36 199 coins	4.3%	69	74.4	0.93×
MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 19	$76.16 152 coins	3.5%	70	79.5	0.88×
Souvenir MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · restricted	10.0%	$52.80 106 coins	4.5%	138	148.8	0.93×
MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New)weapon · covert	10.0%	$45.11 90.22 coins	3.9%	168	148.8	1.13×
MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Factory New)weapon · classified	10.0%	$27.81 55.62 coins	2.4%	149	148.8	1.00×
MAC-10 \| Ultraviolet (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	12.0%	$22.29 44.58 coins	2.3%	184	178.6	1.03×
MAC-10 \| Tornado (Factory New)weapon · consumer	15.0%	$12.11 24.21 coins	1.6%	216	223.2	0.97×
MAC-10 \| Commuter (Factory New)weapon · industrial	16.0%	$10.58 21.16 coins	1.4%	242	238.1	1.02×

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$130260 coins$5,30610,611 coins40.86x4d

Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$130260 coins$2,5395,078 coins19.56x1d

Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$130260 coins$2,5395,078 coins19.56x4d

Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkableinsane67$130260 coins$2,5395,078 coins19.56x5d

Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$130260 coins$2,5395,078 coins19.56x5d

Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$130260 coins$2,5395,078 coins19.56x6d

Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$130260 coins$1,4372,874 coins11.07x35m

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New)weapon · covert$130260 coins$45.1190.22 coins0.35x7m

MAC-10 | Tornado (Factory New)weapon · consumer$130260 coins$12.1124.21 coins0.09x7m

Souvenir Desert Eagle | Mudder (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial$130260 coins$188376 coins1.45x7m

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New)weapon · covert$130260 coins$45.1190.22 coins0.35x7m

MAC-10 | Propaganda (Factory New)weapon · classified$130260 coins$27.8155.62 coins0.21x7m

MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff$130260 coins$22.2944.58 coins0.17x7m

Souvenir Desert Eagle | Mudder (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrialnigxoo$130260 coins$188376 coins1.45x7m

Souvenir Desert Eagle | Mudder (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial$130260 coins$188376 coins1.45x34m

Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare$130260 coins$462923 coins3.55x34m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$130	90.00%	16

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.2%remarkable 1.5%rare 2.0%classified 18.0%Industrial 5.0%SMGs 5.0%mil spec 5.3%restricted 10.0%covert 10.0%#4b69ff 12.0%consumer 15.0%industrial 16.0%best hit $5,306 (40.86x)