Huntsman
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$11.17
22.33 coins
Advertised RTP
89.96%
EV $10.04 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.68%
397 openings, odds method
Variance
2.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 397 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3 | 1 in 1,000 | $354 708 coins | 3.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| ★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700 | 1 in 200 | $175 351 coins | 8.7% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| USP-S | Caiman (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 29 | $40.22 80.43 coins | 13.6% | 10 | 13.5 | 0.74× |
| AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $26.89 53.78 coins | 26.8% | 47 | 39.7 | 1.18× |
| AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $21.81 43.62 coins | 21.7% | 39 | 39.7 | 0.98× |
| M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $7.55 15.09 coins | 7.5% | 26 | 39.7 | 0.65× |
| Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New)weapon · classified | 16.0% | $5.04 10.08 coins | 8.0% | 72 | 63.5 | 1.13× |
| M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 50.0% | $2.03 4.06 coins | 10.1% | 203 | 198.5 | 1.02× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New)weapon · classified$11.1722.33 coins$5.0410.08 coins0.45x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.96%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $11.17 | 89.96% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 20.1%#ffd700 0.5%classified 29.4%restricted 50.0%best hit —