ice ice baby

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$12.49
24.97 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
98.22%
1,100 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
422 openings · below min
7 days
104.10%±49.741,024 openings
30 days
98.22%±46.341,100 openings
since tracking started
98.22%±46.341,100 openings
14.5%84.5%154.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h42281.51%±66.5—sample
7d1,024104.10%±49.7—sample
30d1,10098.22%±46.3—sample
All1,10098.22%±46.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014sticker · high$12.4924.97 coins$1,3162,632 coins105.4x
Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014sticker · high$12.4924.97 coins$1,3162,632 coins105.4x
★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert$12.4924.97 coins$1,2582,517 coins100.8x
★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert$12.4924.97 coins$1,2582,517 coins100.8x
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · Immortal$12.4924.97 coins$8311,662 coins66.56x
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · Immortal$12.4924.97 coins$8311,662 coins66.56x
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · Immortal$12.4924.97 coins$8311,662 coins66.56x
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · Immortal$12.4924.97 coins$8311,662 coins66.56x
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · Immortal$12.4924.97 coins$8311,662 coins66.56x
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$12.4924.97 coins$5441,087 coins43.54x

Latest dropsnewest first

AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$12.4924.97 coins$9.5219.03 coins0.76x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$12.4924.97 coins$0.070.14 coins0.01x
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)weapon · restricted$12.4924.97 coins$2.464.92 coins0.20x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$12.4924.97 coins$0.070.14 coins0.01x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$12.4924.97 coins$0.070.14 coins0.01x
AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New)weapon · Legendary$12.4924.97 coins$12.7925.57 coins1.02x
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$12.4924.97 coins$0.851.71 coins0.07x
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)weapon · restricted$12.4924.97 coins$2.464.92 coins0.20x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$12.4924.97 coins$0.070.14 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,316 (105.4x)