Imperial Save
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.61
3.22 coins
Advertised RTP
89.95%
EV $1.45 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
98.15%
3,660 openings, odds method
Variance
95.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
64.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,660 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New)gloves · legendary | 1 in 10,000 | $1,385 2,771 coins | 9.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 1,000 | $235 470 coins | 16.2% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.55× |
| P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $5.17 10.34 coins | 35.7% | 364 | 366.0 | 0.99× |
| P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified | 25.0% | $1.66 3.32 coins | 28.7% | 918 | 915.0 | 1.00× |
| P2000 | Imperial (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 64.9% | $0.22 0.44 coins | 9.9% | 2,375 | 2375.0 | 1.00× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New)gloves · legendary$1.613.22 coins$1,3852,771 coins860.4x
★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1.613.22 coins$235470 coins145.9x
★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1.613.22 coins$235470 coins145.9x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.95%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.61 | 89.95% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%extraordinary 0.1%classified 35.0%mil spec 64.9%best hit $1,385 (860.4x)