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jew-c

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2.38
4.75 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
121.23%
460 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
428 openings · below min
30 days
460 openings · below min
since tracking started
460 openings · below min
62.5%127.3%192.0%

Small sample. 460 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d428128.69%±62.6—sample
30d460121.23%±58.3—sample
All460121.23%±58.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Factory New)knife · gold$2.384.75 coins$130261 coins54.94x
★ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Factory New)knife · gold$2.384.75 coins$130261 coins54.94x
★ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Factory New)knife · goldNeonSnipe2534$2.384.75 coins$130261 coins54.94x
★ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Factory New)knife · gold$2.384.75 coins$130261 coins54.94x
★ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Factory New)knife · gold$2.384.75 coins$130261 coins54.94x
★ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Factory New)knife · gold$2.384.75 coins$130261 coins54.94x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested)weapon · 3$2.384.75 coins$0.230.47 coins0.10x
Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$2.384.75 coins$0.040.07 coins0.01x
Nova | Sand Dune (Factory New)weapon · consumer$2.384.75 coins$0.070.14 coins0.03x
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested)weapon · 3$2.384.75 coins$0.230.47 coins0.10x
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New)weapon · classified$2.384.75 coins$5.0410.08 coins2.12x
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested)weapon · pinkNeonSnipe2534$2.384.75 coins$1.673.34 coins0.70x
Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade$2.384.75 coins$0.180.37 coins0.08x
Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$2.384.75 coins$0.040.07 coins0.01x
Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$2.384.75 coins$0.040.07 coins0.01x
Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade$2.384.75 coins$0.180.37 coins0.08x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $130 (54.94x)