Jonji
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$28.95
57.9 coins
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $26.05 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
72.91%
308 openings, odds method
Variance
12.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 18
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 308 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #EB4B4B | 1 in 1,000 | $1,860 3,720 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 250 | $544 1,087 coins | 8.3% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.81× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 100 | $412 823 coins | 15.8% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 25 | $301 602 coins | 46.2% | 10 | 12.3 | 0.81× |
| Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 50 | $181 361 coins | 13.9% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.81× |
| Five-SeveN | Crimson Blossom (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 50 | $66.23 132 coins | 5.1% | 6 | 6.2 | 0.97× |
| Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)weapon · red | 1 in 50 | $44.66 89.32 coins | 3.4% | 9 | 6.2 | 1.46× |
| Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer | 88.5% | $0.04 0.08 coins | 0.1% | 274 | 272.6 | 1.01× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$28.9557.9 coins$5441,087 coins18.78x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $28.95 | 89.99% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#EB4B4B 0.1%extraordinary 0.4%covert knife 5.0%restricted 2.0%mil spec 2.0%red 2.0%consumer 88.5%best hit $544 (18.78x)