Karambit Brute

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$51.77

104 coins

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $46.59 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d

63.96%

22 openings, odds method

Variance

1.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

20.7%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

79.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

22 openings · below min

30 days

22 openings · below min

since tracking started

22 openings · below min

8.0%64.0%120.0%

Small sample. 22 openings and 4.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	22	63.96%±55.4	—	odds
30d	22	63.96%±55.4	—	odds
All	22	63.96%±55.4	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 22 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$1,258 2,517 coins	2.7%	0	0.0	—
Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Covert	1 in 500	$501 1,002 coins	2.2%	0	0.0	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3	1 in 500	$501 1,001 coins	2.1%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · Phase 1	1 in 500	$500 1,000 coins	2.1%	0	0.0	—
★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	10.0%	$125 251 coins	26.9%	0	2.2	0.00×
★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · gold	10.0%	$125 250 coins	26.9%	3	2.2	1.36×
CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New)weapon · classified	40.0%	$40.64 81.28 coins	34.9%	8	8.8	0.91×
XM1014 \| Entombed (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 20	$5.12 10.24 coins	0.5%	1	1.1	0.91×
P90 \| Leather (Field-Tested)weapon · Industrial Grade	1 in 20	$5.12 10.23 coins	0.5%	1	1.1	0.91×
MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 20	$5.11 10.21 coins	0.5%	2	1.1	1.82×
M4A4 \| Griffin (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 20	$1.09 2.17 coins	0.1%	3	1.1	2.73×
Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 20	$1.07 2.14 coins	0.1%	0	1.1	0.00×
M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 20	$1.07 2.13 coins	0.1%	1	1.1	0.91×
AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 20	$1.07 2.13 coins	0.1%	1	1.1	0.91×
Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 23	$1.03 2.05 coins	0.1%	2	0.9	—

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

M4A4 | Griffin (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$51.77104 coins$1.092.17 coins0.02x2d

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$51.77104 coins$1.032.05 coins0.02x2d

M4A4 | Griffin (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$51.77104 coins$1.092.17 coins0.02x2d

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New)weapon · classified$51.77104 coins$40.6481.28 coins0.79x2d

M4A4 | Griffin (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$51.77104 coins$1.092.17 coins0.02x2d

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New)weapon · classified$51.77104 coins$40.6481.28 coins0.79x2d

★ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · gold$51.77104 coins$125250 coins2.42x2d

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New)weapon · classified$51.77104 coins$40.6481.28 coins0.79x2d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$51.77	90.00%	15

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 10.1%Covert 0.2%Immortal 0.2%other 0.2%gold 10.0%classified 45.0%Legendary 5.0%Industrial Grade 5.0%violet 5.0%restricted 10.0%Mythical 5.0%mil spec 4.3%best hit —