Kill House

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$10.10
20.19 coins
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $9.08 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
101.84%
2,103 openings, odds method
Variance
11.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 36
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
146 openings · below min
7 days
105.18%±15.361,788 openings
30 days
101.84%±14.162,103 openings
since tracking started
101.84%±14.162,103 openings
87.0%144.8%202.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h146147.96%±53.7—odds
7d1,788105.18%±15.4+1.9σodds
30d2,103101.84%±14.2+1.6σodds
All2,103101.84%±14.2+1.6σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,103 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 500$377 753 coins8.3%44.20.95×
SSG 08 | Death Strike (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 250$277 555 coins12.2%108.41.19×
Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Classified1 in 200$226 452 coins12.4%1610.51.52×
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 143$120 241 coins9.3%1514.71.02×
Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · classified1 in 100$98.74 197 coins10.9%2221.01.05×
Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · classified1 in 100$57.32 115 coins6.3%2621.01.24×
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 100$56.30 113 coins6.2%1721.00.81×
Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · classified1 in 100$51.37 103 coins5.7%2621.01.24×
P90 | Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 50$40.53 81.05 coins8.9%4142.10.97×
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 50$29.87 59.74 coins6.6%4842.11.14×
M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 50$21.68 43.36 coins4.8%5542.11.31×
AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 33$7.49 14.98 coins2.5%6463.11.01×
M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 33$5.51 11.01 coins1.8%5863.10.92×
AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 25$4.74 9.47 coins2.1%9284.11.09×
P90 | Death Grip (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 25$4.59 9.17 coins2.0%9384.11.11×
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial74.2%$0.01 0.02 coins0.1%1,5161560.40.97×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$10.1020.19 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$10.1020.19 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$10.1020.19 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$10.1020.19 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$10.1020.19 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$10.1020.19 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$10.1020.19 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$10.1020.19 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$10.1020.19 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$10.1089.98%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 9.9%classified 10.4%Classified 0.5%Covert 1.0%restricted 4.0%industrial 74.2%best hit —