Price
$300.00
600 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
76.87%
304 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 304 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert$300600 coins$24.8K49,625 coins82.71x
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B$300600 coins$9571,914 coins3.19x
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B$300600 coins$9571,914 coins3.19x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B$300600 coins$9571,914 coins3.19x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $24.8K (82.71x)