Price
$3,928.93
7,858 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
54.00%
520 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 520 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$3,9297,858 coins$217K434,217 coins55.26x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$3,9297,858 coins$112K223,312 coins28.42x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$3,9297,858 coins$112K223,312 coins28.42x
Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$3,9297,858 coins$72.4K144,822 coins18.43x
Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$3,9297,858 coins$72.4K144,822 coins18.43x
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$3,9297,858 coins$52.4K104,780 coins13.33x
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$3,9297,858 coins$52.4K104,780 coins13.33x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert$3,9297,858 coins$41.2K82,490 coins10.50x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert$3,9297,858 coins$41.2K82,490 coins10.50x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $217K (55.26x)