KINDREDXXXX2

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3,928.93
7,858 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
54.00%
520 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
520 openings · below min
7 days
520 openings · below min
30 days
520 openings · below min
since tracking started
520 openings · below min
22.5%54.0%85.5%

Small sample. 520 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h52054.00%±30.8—sample
7d52054.00%±30.8—sample
30d52054.00%±30.8—sample
All52054.00%±30.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$3,9297,858 coins$217K434,217 coins55.26x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$3,9297,858 coins$112K223,312 coins28.42x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$3,9297,858 coins$112K223,312 coins28.42x
Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$3,9297,858 coins$73.5K147,047 coins18.71x
Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$3,9297,858 coins$72.4K144,822 coins18.43x
Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$3,9297,858 coins$72.4K144,822 coins18.43x
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$3,9297,858 coins$52.4K104,780 coins13.33x
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$3,9297,858 coins$52.4K104,780 coins13.33x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert$3,9297,858 coins$41.2K82,490 coins10.50x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert$3,9297,858 coins$41.2K82,490 coins10.50x

Latest dropsnewest first

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$3,9297,858 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$3,9297,858 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$3,9297,858 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$3,9297,858 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$3,9297,858 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$3,9297,858 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$3,9297,858 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$3,9297,858 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$3,9297,858 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$3,9297,858 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $217K (55.26x)