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kn0x77

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$204.43
409 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
140.61%
434 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
44 openings · below min
7 days
50 openings · below min
30 days
434 openings · below min
since tracking started
434 openings · below min
-0.5%153.3%307.0%

Small sample. 434 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h449.89%±13.6—sample
7d5019.74%±19.3—sample
30d434140.61%±165.8—sample
All434140.61%±165.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$204409 coins$73.5K147,047 coins359.7x
Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$204409 coins$9,90919,817 coins48.47x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$204409 coins$7,89815,795 coins38.63x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$204409 coins$7,89815,795 coins38.63x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$204409 coins$3,6177,234 coins17.69x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$204409 coins$1,2932,585 coins6.32x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$204409 coins$1,2932,585 coins6.32x
★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$204409 coins$7051,409 coins3.45x
★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$204409 coins$7051,409 coins3.45x
★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$204409 coins$7051,409 coins3.45x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covertcherrylea$204409 coins$423846 coins2.07x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$204409 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$204409 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$204409 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$204409 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$204409 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$204409 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$204409 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffcherrylea$204409 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$204409 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $73.5K (359.7x)