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Kush V2

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$56.54
113 coins
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $50.88 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
109.10%
988 openings, odds method
Variance
31.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 97
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
82 openings · below min
7 days
95.63%±37.44856 openings
30 days
109.10%±34.85988 openings
since tracking started
109.10%±34.85988 openings
-0.5%114.0%228.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h82106.70%±121.0—odds
7d85695.63%±37.4+0.3σodds
30d988109.10%±34.8+1.1σodds
All988109.10%±34.8+1.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 988 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contraband1 in 10,000$10.9K 21,888 coins2.2%00.1—
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 10,000$9,355 18,710 coins1.8%10.1—
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert1 in 10,000$3,722 7,444 coins0.7%00.1—
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 200$3,414 6,828 coins33.6%74.91.42×
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary1 in 200$1,493 2,987 coins14.7%44.90.81×
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 200$1,252 2,504 coins12.3%34.90.61×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 200$308 616 coins3.0%64.91.21×
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 51$220 440 coins8.5%1519.50.77×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 33$169 339 coins10.0%4029.61.35×
★ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 25$129 258 coins10.1%3439.50.86×
AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 25$39.19 78.38 coins3.1%4239.51.06×
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer85.0%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.0%836839.81.00×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$56.54113 coins$9,35518,710 coins165.5x
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)gloves · extraordinarynigxoo$56.54113 coins$3,4146,828 coins60.39x
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$56.54113 coins$3,4146,828 coins60.39x
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$56.54113 coins$3,4146,828 coins60.39x
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$56.54113 coins$3,4146,828 coins60.39x
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryCASEREVIEWER$56.54113 coins$3,4146,828 coins60.39x
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$56.54113 coins$3,4146,828 coins60.39x
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$56.54113 coins$3,4146,828 coins60.39x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary$56.54113 coins$1,4932,987 coins26.41x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary$56.54113 coins$1,4932,987 coins26.41x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$56.54113 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$56.54113 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$56.54113 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$56.54113 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$56.54113 coins$169339 coins3.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$56.54113 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$56.54113 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New)weapon · covertnigxoo$56.54113 coins$39.1978.38 coins0.69x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$56.54113 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$56.54113 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$56.5489.99%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcontraband 0.0%covert 12.0%extraordinary 2.5%legendary 0.5%consumer 85.0%best hit $9,355 (165.5x)