LA 1% M4A1

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2.50
5 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
101.27%
11.1K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
606 openings · below min
7 days
98.17%±36.353,520 openings
30 days
101.27%±20.0211.1K openings
since tracking started
101.27%±20.0211.1K openings
6.5%70.8%135.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h60666.17%±58.9—sample
7d3,52098.17%±36.3—sample
30d11.1K101.27%±20.0—sample
All11.1K101.27%±20.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b$2.505 coins$7581,515 coins303.1x
M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b$2.505 coins$7581,515 coins303.1x
M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b$2.505 coins$7581,515 coins303.1x
M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$2.505 coins$369737 coins147.5x
M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$2.505 coins$369737 coins147.5x
M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$2.505 coins$369737 coins147.5x
M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$2.505 coins$369737 coins147.5x
M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$2.505 coins$369737 coins147.5x
M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$2.505 coins$369737 coins147.5x
M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$2.505 coins$369737 coins147.5x

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.505 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.505 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.505 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.505 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.505 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.505 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.505 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.505 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.505 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $758 (303.1x)