Price
$253.72
507 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.45%
636 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 636 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$254507 coins$9,39818,795 coins37.04x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · #ffd700$254507 coins$6,23412,468 coins24.57x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · #ffd700rm20bk$254507 coins$6,23412,468 coins24.57x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · #ffd700$254507 coins$6,23412,468 coins24.57x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$254507 coins$3,3266,652 coins13.11x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$254507 coins$3,3266,652 coins13.11x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$254507 coins$3,3266,652 coins13.11x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$254507 coins$3,3266,652 coins13.11x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$254507 coins$2,8135,625 coins11.09x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $9,398 (37.04x)