Land Of Snow
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.86
3.72 coins
Advertised RTP
89.84%
EV $1.67 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.32%
11.4K openings, odds method
Variance
219.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 625
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
96.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 11.4K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014sticker · high | 1 in 10,000 | $1,316 2,632 coins | 7.9% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.87× |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 2,000 | $956 1,912 coins | 28.6% | 5 | 5.7 | 0.87× |
| CZ75-Auto | Chalice (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 1,000 | $312 625 coins | 18.7% | 6 | 11.4 | 0.52× |
| Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Chalice (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted | 1 in 100 | $57.73 115 coins | 34.5% | 108 | 114.5 | 0.94× |
| P2000 | Corticera (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $11.19 22.37 coins | 6.7% | 110 | 114.5 | 0.96× |
| AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary | 1 in 100 | $3.99 7.98 coins | 2.4% | 141 | 114.5 | 1.23× |
| P90 | Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · Common | 1 in 100 | $1.51 3.02 coins | 0.9% | 130 | 114.5 | 1.14× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer | 95.8% | <$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.3% | 10,947 | 10971.8 | 1.00× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.84%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.86 | 89.84% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedhigh 0.0%extraordinary 0.1%restricted 0.1%Restricted 1.0%classified 1.0%Legendary 1.0%Common 1.0%consumer 95.8%best hit $1,316 (707.6x)