LIL CRIMSON
A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$200.00
400 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
90.47%
508 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 508 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$200400 coins$9,92519,850 coins49.62x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$200400 coins$9,39818,795 coins46.99x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$200400 coins$9,39818,795 coins46.99x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covertDOWANNAKNOW$200400 coins$2,9465,893 coins14.73x
Latest dropsnewest first
R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specLukexSoHandsome$200400 coins$0.070.14 coins0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $9,925 (49.62x)