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lil gram

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$4.12
8.23 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
192.55%
422 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
8 openings · below min
7 days
422 openings · below min
30 days
422 openings · below min
since tracking started
422 openings · below min
-0.5%225.5%451.5%

Small sample. 422 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h8152.37%±298.4—sample
7d422192.55%±108.0—sample
30d422192.55%±108.0—sample
All422192.55%±108.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Phase 3$4.128.23 coins$379759 coins92.17x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Phase 3$4.128.23 coins$379759 coins92.17x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Phase 3$4.128.23 coins$379759 coins92.17x
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3$4.128.23 coins$329657 coins79.87x
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3$4.128.23 coins$329657 coins79.87x
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3$4.128.23 coins$329657 coins79.87x
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3$4.128.23 coins$329657 coins79.87x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$4.128.23 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$4.128.23 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$4.128.23 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$4.128.23 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$4.128.23 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$4.128.23 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$4.128.23 coins$50.13100 coins12.18x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecstar123$4.128.23 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$4.128.23 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$4.128.23 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $379 (92.17x)