Lotta Heads

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$11.90
23.8 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
84.37%
732 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
80 openings · below min
7 days
640 openings · below min
30 days
732 openings · below min
since tracking started
732 openings · below min
76.0%95.0%114.0%

Small sample. 732 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h8095.05%±18.3—sample
7d64082.69%±6.16—sample
30d73284.37%±5.86—sample
All73284.37%±5.86—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

MAC-10 | Toybox (Factory New)weapon · classified$11.9023.8 coins$10.0220.04 coins0.84x
MAC-10 | Toybox (Factory New)weapon · classified$11.9023.8 coins$10.0220.04 coins0.84x
PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New)weapon · restricted$11.9023.8 coins$5.0410.08 coins0.42x
MAC-10 | Toybox (Factory New)weapon · classified$11.9023.8 coins$10.0220.04 coins0.84x
Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff$11.9023.8 coins$30.1260.24 coins2.53x
MAC-10 | Toybox (Factory New)weapon · classified$11.9023.8 coins$10.0220.04 coins0.84x
P2000 | Oceanic (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$11.9023.8 coins$0.060.11 coins0.00x
Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffSorhex$11.9023.8 coins$30.1260.24 coins2.53x
Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff$11.9023.8 coins$30.1260.24 coins2.53x
MAC-10 | Toybox (Factory New)weapon · classified$11.9023.8 coins$10.0220.04 coins0.84x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —