Louis Greeny Cheapy

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.25
2.5 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
147.15%
288 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
192 openings · below min
30 days
288 openings · below min
since tracking started
288 openings · below min
6.5%135.3%264.0%

Small sample. 288 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d192135.07%±128.1—sample
30d288147.15%±108.4—sample
All288147.15%±108.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert$1.252.5 coins$109217 coins86.96x

Latest dropsnewest first

XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$1.252.5 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$1.252.5 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$1.252.5 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$1.252.5 coins$12.0124.01 coins9.60x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$1.252.5 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$1.252.5 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$1.252.5 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$1.252.5 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $109 (86.96x)