Mega Loadout
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$201.89
404 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $181.70 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $1,598 3,196 coins | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | mir (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · extraordinary | 1 in 50 | $1,250 2,500 coins | 13.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Charm | Lil' Monstercharm · uncommon | 1 in 50 | $606 1,211 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| MAG-7 | Cinquedea (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 50 | $493 987 coins | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| MP9 | Bulldozer (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 50 | $478 956 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary | 1 in 25 | $233 466 coins | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Classified | 1 in 25 | $226 452 coins | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 27.7% | $122 244 coins | 18.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 27.7% | $106 211 coins | 16.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert | 27.7% | $100 201 coins | 15.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $202 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 3.0%extraordinary 2.0%uncommon 2.0%restricted 2.0%Extraordinary 4.0%Classified 4.0%covert 83.0%