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Meluhdy 1.33%

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$124.38
249 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
59.72%
292 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
16 openings · below min
7 days
292 openings · below min
30 days
292 openings · below min
since tracking started
292 openings · below min
-0.5%928.3%1857.0%

Small sample. 292 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h16793.70%±1062.7—sample
7d29259.72%±67.9—sample
30d29259.72%±67.9—sample
All29259.72%±67.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$124249 coins$7,89815,795 coins63.50x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$124249 coins$7,89815,795 coins63.50x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl$124249 coins$5,89311,786 coins47.38x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$124249 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$124249 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$124249 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$124249 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$124249 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$124249 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$124249 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$124249 coins$7,89815,795 coins63.50x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$124249 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$124249 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $7,898 (63.50x)