mercedes benz original

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$5.00
10 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
51.71%
1,469 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
100 openings · below min
7 days
19.03%±21.681,002 openings
30 days
51.71%±48.541,469 openings
since tracking started
51.71%±48.541,469 openings
-0.5%50.3%101.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1001.24%±0.06—sample
7d1,00219.03%±21.7—sample
30d1,46951.71%±48.5—sample
All1,46951.71%±48.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert$5.0010 coins$1,3012,602 coins260.2x
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$5.0010 coins$1,0482,096 coins209.6x

Latest dropsnewest first

MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear)weapon · #87c7ff$5.0010 coins$0.060.11 coins0.01x
MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · 2$5.0010 coins$0.090.18 coins0.02x
MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear)weapon · #87c7ff$5.0010 coins$0.060.11 coins0.01x
MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear)weapon · #87c7ff$5.0010 coins$0.060.11 coins0.01x
MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear)weapon · #87c7ff$5.0010 coins$0.060.11 coins0.01x
MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · 2$5.0010 coins$0.090.18 coins0.02x
MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear)weapon · #87c7ff$5.0010 coins$0.060.11 coins0.01x
MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear)weapon · #87c7fftobiasn$5.0010 coins$0.060.11 coins0.01x
MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear)weapon · #87c7ff$5.0010 coins$0.060.11 coins0.01x
MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear)weapon · #87c7ff$5.0010 coins$0.060.11 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,301 (260.2x)