Money Printer
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3,054.35
6,109 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $2,748.91 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
53.58%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
57.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 1.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contraband | 1 in 25 | $10.9K 21,888 coins | 15.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary | 1 in 20 | $8,972 17,944 coins | 16.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| ★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl | 1 in 11 | $5,803 11,607 coins | 19.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary | 1 in 11 | $5,306 10,611 coins | 17.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband | 1 in 17 | $4,761 9,523 coins | 10.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · #EB4B4B | 1 in 20 | $3,915 7,830 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 20 | $3,195 6,389 coins | 5.8% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1 | 17.0% | $1,170 2,340 coins | 7.2% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× |
| ★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · gold | 40.0% | $56.76 114 coins | 0.8% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.25× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendaryFilthyDaDegen$3,0546,109 coins$5,30610,611 coins1.74x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1$3,0546,109 coins$1,1702,340 coins0.38x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1$3,0546,109 coins$1,1702,340 coins0.38x
Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendaryFilthyDaDegen$3,0546,109 coins$5,30610,611 coins1.74x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3,054 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcontraband 10.0%legendary 14.0%covert 26.0%#EB4B4B 5.0%extraordinary 5.0%gold 40.0%best hit $5,306 (1.74x)