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Big wins
Killer Night$184K30.67xBlackjack$21.7K2.00xHigh Elf$30.6K305.9xDragon Queen MEGAWAYS$1,23955.07xXmas Guardians Megaways$593423.8xPrivate Jet$1,137189.4xKeno$10K50.00xBlackjack$21.7K2.00xBlackjack$1,2502.50xBlackjack$2,0402.00xLe Outlaw$2,0474.09xONE Blackjack$3,2022.00xCrash$1,0711.96xStake Blackjack 15$2,2502.00xBlackjack$1,0002.00xMines$208832.0xBlackjack$1,2753.00xRoid Rage$1,18419.73xDice$3,9642.48xMadame Destiny Megaways$20.52102.6xPlinko$3,328130.0xDice$2,1822.00xLimbo$1,796149.7xMoonlight Princess$1,5181.51x

nga stfu

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$50.00
100 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
40.78%
428 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
428 openings · below min
30 days
428 openings · below min
since tracking started
428 openings · below min
7.5%40.8%74.0%

Small sample. 428 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d42840.78%±32.7—sample
30d42840.78%±32.7—sample
All42840.78%±32.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Black Pearlapiu52$50.00100 coins$1,8143,629 coins36.29x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$50.00100 coins$1,5523,105 coins31.05x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert$50.00100 coins$1,4612,922 coins29.22x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl$50.00100 coins$1,3652,729 coins27.29x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert$50.00100 coins$1,2662,533 coins25.33x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covertapiu52$50.00100 coins$1,2662,533 coins25.33x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumernigxoo$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,814 (36.29x)