NgasBrickedUp

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$25.00

50 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

106.47%

980 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

6 openings · below min

7 days

924 openings · below min

30 days

980 openings · below min

since tracking started

980 openings · below min

-0.5%72.8%146.0%

Small sample. 980 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	6	0.02%±0.00	—	sample
7d	924	102.04%±37.3	—	sample
30d	980	106.47%±38.8	—	sample
All	980	106.47%±38.8	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)weapon · covert$25.0050 coins$2,0124,025 coins80.49x7d

Sticker | mir (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · extraordinarygramou$25.0050 coins$1,2502,500 coins50.00x3d

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3$25.0050 coins$1,2012,403 coins48.06x2d

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3$25.0050 coins$1,2012,403 coins48.06x3d

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3gramou$25.0050 coins$1,2012,403 coins48.06x3d

Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Covert$25.0050 coins$1,1512,301 coins46.02x3d

★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$25.0050 coins$1,1122,225 coins44.50x3d

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · epic$25.0050 coins$1,0602,120 coins42.41x3d

Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert$25.0050 coins$1,0022,005 coins40.09x2d

Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert$25.0050 coins$1,0022,005 coins40.09x3d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x21h

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecpatriarch1337$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x21h

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x21h

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecgramou$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x1d

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x1d

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecfficient$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,012 (80.49x)