Price
$140.19
280 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
110.41%
216 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 216 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$140280 coins$9,35618,711 coins66.74x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$140280 coins$8,34716,693 coins59.54x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$140280 coins$6,64813,296 coins47.42x
Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$140280 coins$2,5395,078 coins18.11x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$140280 coins$1,9353,870 coins13.80x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $9,356 (66.74x)