Office

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$46.84

93.68 coins

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $42.15 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d

140.96%

332 openings, odds method

Variance

44.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 97

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

76.6%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

284 openings · below min

30 days

332 openings · below min

since tracking started

332 openings · below min

69.0%153.3%237.5%

Small sample. 332 openings and 3.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	284	159.50%±77.1	—	odds
30d	332	140.96%±71.3	—	odds
All	332	140.96%±71.3	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 332 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$15.1K 30,112 coins	3.6%	0	0.0	—
★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$11.7K 23,410 coins	2.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 5,000	$8,338 16,675 coins	4.0%	1	0.1	—
Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · legendary	1 in 3,333	$5,306 10,611 coins	3.8%	1	0.1	—
Charm \| Chicken Lil'charm · uncommon	1 in 2,500	$5,000 10,000 coins	4.7%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald	1 in 2,500	$3,592 7,183 coins	3.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald	1 in 2,500	$2,813 5,625 coins	2.7%	1	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire	1 in 2,500	$2,251 4,502 coins	2.1%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3	1 in 333	$1,524 3,048 coins	10.8%	0	1.0	—
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2	1 in 200	$1,454 2,909 coins	17.2%	0	1.7	0.00×
★ Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 23	$141 281 coins	14.7%	11	14.6	0.75×
★ Survival Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	18.0%	$66.81 134 coins	28.5%	55	59.8	0.92×
USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New)weapon · Rare	10.0%	$4.00 8 coins	0.9%	30	33.2	0.90×
P90 \| Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · Common	20.0%	$1.51 3.02 coins	0.7%	82	66.4	1.23×
FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	46.6%	$0.01 0.02 coins	0.0%	151	154.6	0.98×

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$46.8493.68 coins$8,33816,675 coins178.0x5d

Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$46.8493.68 coins$5,30610,611 coins113.3x2d

★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$46.8493.68 coins$2,8135,625 coins60.05x2d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife$46.8493.68 coins$66.81134 coins1.43x1d

P90 | Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$46.8493.68 coins$1.513.02 coins0.03x1d

FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial$46.8493.68 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x1d

P90 | Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$46.8493.68 coins$1.513.02 coins0.03x1d

★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife$46.8493.68 coins$66.81134 coins1.43x1d

USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New)weapon · Rare$46.8493.68 coins$4.008 coins0.09x1d

FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn)weapon · industrialsyltfanxx$46.8493.68 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x1d

★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife$46.8493.68 coins$66.81134 coins1.43x1d

FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial$46.8493.68 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$46.84	90.00%	15

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 0.0%legendary 0.0%uncommon 0.0%covert 0.6%Covert 0.3%covert knife 22.4%Rare 10.0%Common 20.0%industrial 46.6%best hit $8,338 (178.0x)