Price
$75.24
150 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
104.94%
36 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 36 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4$75.24150 coins$1,0502,099 coins13.95x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$75.24150 coins$6851,371 coins9.11x
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$75.24150 coins$6671,334 coins8.86x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $1,050 (13.95x)