Price
$5.15
10.3 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
90.04%
15.2K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$5.1510.3 coins$3,9487,896 coins766.6x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$5.1510.3 coins$3,9487,896 coins766.6x
Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #EB4B4B$5.1510.3 coins$1,8603,720 coins361.1x
Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #EB4B4B$5.1510.3 coins$1,8603,720 coins361.1x
Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert$5.1510.3 coins$1,3962,792 coins271.1x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$5.1510.3 coins$1,0362,071 coins201.1x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$5.1510.3 coins$1,0362,071 coins201.1x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$5.1510.3 coins$1,0362,071 coins201.1x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$5.1510.3 coins$1,0362,071 coins201.1x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$5.1510.3 coins$1,0362,071 coins201.1x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $3,948 (766.6x)