Perfect Hands
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1,505.96
3,012 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $1,355.36 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
2.11%
12 openings, odds method
Variance
4.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 12 openings and 1.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 100 | $15.1K 30,112 coins | 11.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 50 | $11.7K 23,410 coins | 17.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New)gloves · legendary | 1 in 40 | $8,979 17,957 coins | 16.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 40 | $8,338 16,675 coins | 15.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 40 | $7,137 14,274 coins | 13.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 40 | $7,082 14,163 coins | 13.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 40 | $6,222 12,443 coins | 11.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 84.5% | $31.71 63.42 coins | 2.0% | 12 | 10.1 | 1.18× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,5063,012 coins$31.7163.42 coins0.02x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,5063,012 coins$31.7163.42 coins0.02x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,5063,012 coins$31.7163.42 coins0.02x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinarySanityy$1,5063,012 coins$31.7163.42 coins0.02x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,5063,012 coins$31.7163.42 coins0.02x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,5063,012 coins$31.7163.42 coins0.02x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryJohnDoe77$1,5063,012 coins$31.7163.42 coins0.02x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,5063,012 coins$31.7163.42 coins0.02x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,5063,012 coins$31.7163.42 coins0.02x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,5063,012 coins$31.7163.42 coins0.02x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,506 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 97.5%legendary 2.5%best hit —