Pina or CluckNada
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.39
6.77 coins
Advertised RTP
89.00%
EV $3.01 from 2 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.00%
930 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
50.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 930 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P90 | Storm (Factory New)weapon · Common | 50.0% | $6.02 12.04 coins | 99.9% | 465 | 465.0 | 1.00× |
| P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 50.0% | <$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 465 | 465.0 | 1.00× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.39 | 89.00% | 2 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedCommon 50.0%#4b69ff 50.0%best hit —