Pink Panther
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$27.02
54.04 coins
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $24.31 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
75.14%
98 openings, odds method
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
28.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
55.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 98 openings and 27.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 98 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $98.06 196 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 50 | $75.38 151 coins | 6.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · restricted | 1 in 33 | $54.10 108 coins | 6.7% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.68× |
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified | 1 in 25 | $53.67 107 coins | 8.8% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× |
| Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 20 | $45.68 91.35 coins | 9.4% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.82× |
| AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 17 | $39.19 78.38 coins | 9.7% | 8 | 5.9 | 1.36× |
| Galil AR | Phoenix Blacklight (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 14 | $37.48 74.96 coins | 10.8% | 5 | 6.9 | 0.73× |
| Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 1 in 13 | $32.01 64.02 coins | 10.5% | 5 | 7.8 | 0.64× |
| Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 11 | $28.89 57.77 coins | 10.7% | 8 | 8.8 | 0.91× |
| SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New)weapon · classified | 55.0% | $10.25 20.5 coins | 23.2% | 63 | 53.9 | 1.17× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New)weapon · classifiedDemonDeeeeek$27.0254.04 coins$10.2520.5 coins0.38x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $27.02 | 89.99% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 9.0%restricted 18.0%Classified 4.0%classified 69.0%best hit —