Planting
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.25
2.49 coins
Advertised RTP
89.90%
EV $1.12 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.88%
716 openings, odds method
Variance
3.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 10
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 716 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · classified$1.252.49 coins$6.0412.08 coins4.85x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.25 | 89.90% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedindustrial 57.3%classified 4.6%mil spec 6.1%restricted 1.0%Rare 13.0%covert 3.0%#4b69ff 5.0%#8847ff 10.0%best hit —