Platinum
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$16.59
33.17 coins
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $14.93 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.23%
400 openings, odds method
Variance
11.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 400 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$16.5933.17 coins$73.24146 coins4.42x
★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knifepooop$16.5933.17 coins$102204 coins6.16x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $16.59 | 89.99% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.0%gold 0.4%knifes 0.4%Covert 0.6%covert knife 3.7%Mil Spec Grade 2.5%mil spec 5.0%#87c7ff 8.0%#4b69ff 78.5%best hit $1,258 (75.87x)