POW Jackpot
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.06
2.11 coins
Advertised RTP
90.18%
EV $0.95 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.01%
2,627 openings, odds method
Variance
150.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
40.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,627 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Moto Gloves | POW! (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 10,000 | $1,289 2,577 coins | 13.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 20 | $5.23 10.45 coins | 27.5% | 140 | 131.3 | 1.07× |
| Five-SeveN | Kami (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 20 | $1.16 2.32 coins | 6.1% | 142 | 131.3 | 1.08× |
| MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 30.0% | $1.09 2.17 coins | 34.2% | 759 | 788.1 | 0.96× |
| Dual Berettas | Cartel (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 15.0% | $0.39 0.77 coins | 6.1% | 393 | 394.1 | 1.00× |
| P90 | Desert DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon | 15.0% | $0.39 0.77 coins | 6.1% | 402 | 394.1 | 1.02× |
| Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Factory New)weapon · milspec | 15.0% | $0.38 0.76 coins | 6.0% | 395 | 394.1 | 1.00× |
| PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch (Factory New)weapon · consumer | 15.0% | $0.04 0.07 coins | 0.6% | 396 | 393.8 | 1.01× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.18%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.06 | 90.18% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.0%classified 5.0%mil spec 35.0%#4b69ff 15.0%other 15.0%milspec 15.0%consumer 15.0%best hit —