Prime Emperor
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$16.00
31.99 coins
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $14.39 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
61.78%
378 openings, odds method
Variance
11.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 378 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $250 500 coins | 86.9% | 12 | 18.9 | 0.63× |
| AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon | 13.0% | $3.51 7.01 coins | 3.2% | 50 | 49.1 | 1.02× |
| Dual Berettas | Briar (Factory New)weapon · consumer | 13.0% | $3.02 6.04 coins | 2.7% | 49 | 49.1 | 1.00× |
| UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff | 13.0% | $2.54 5.08 coins | 2.3% | 50 | 49.1 | 1.02× |
| Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer | 14.0% | $2.01 4.01 coins | 2.0% | 54 | 52.9 | 1.02× |
| P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 14.0% | $1.52 3.04 coins | 1.5% | 64 | 52.9 | 1.21× |
| G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 14.0% | $1.01 2.02 coins | 1.0% | 54 | 52.9 | 1.02× |
| AUG | Ricochet (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 14.0% | $0.51 1.02 coins | 0.5% | 45 | 52.9 | 0.85× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $16.00 | 89.98% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 5.0%Uncommon 13.0%consumer 27.0%#4b69ff 13.0%industrial 14.0%mil spec 28.0%best hit —