Purple Power
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3,402.65
6,805 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $3,062.38 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.14%
32 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 32 openings and 4.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 32 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary$3,4036,805 coins$36.3K72,651 coins10.68x
Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$3,4036,805 coins$9,45718,914 coins2.78x
Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkableinsane67$3,4036,805 coins$9,45718,914 coins2.78x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$3,4036,805 coins$246491 coins0.07x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3$3,4036,805 coins$1,0442,089 coins0.31x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1$3,4036,805 coins$1,1702,340 coins0.34x
Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$3,4036,805 coins$9,45718,914 coins2.78x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3,403 | 90.00% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 5.5%covert 58.5%contraband 5.0%remarkable 5.0%classified 13.0%restricted 13.0%best hit $36.3K (10.68x)