Quarter Pumper

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$0.13

0.26 coins

Advertised RTP

89.36%

EV $0.12 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d

83.41%

6,001 openings, odds method

Variance

22.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

30.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

45.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

77.59%±30.55922 openings

7 days

84.30%±12.945,143 openings

30 days

83.41%±11.976,001 openings

since tracking started

83.41%±11.976,001 openings

46.5%77.8%109.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	922	77.59%±30.6	−0.8σ	odds
7d	5,143	84.30%±12.9	−0.8σ	odds
30d	6,001	83.41%±12.0	−1.0σ	odds
All	6,001	83.41%±12.0	−1.0σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,009 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 25,000	$56.28 113 coins	1.9%	0	0.2	—
Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 16,667	$39.30 78.6 coins	2.0%	0	0.4	—
Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 10,000	$22.69 45.37 coins	2.0%	1	0.6	—
Dual Berettas \| Pyre (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 10,000	$20.37 40.73 coins	1.8%	0	0.6	—
Dual Berettas \| Marina (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 6,667	$14.33 28.65 coins	1.8%	0	0.9	—
Dual Berettas \| Black Limba (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 6,667	$10.34 20.68 coins	1.3%	1	0.9	—
Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 5,000	$6.75 13.49 coins	1.2%	0	1.2	0.00×
Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 5,000	$5.50 10.99 coins	0.9%	2	1.2	1.66×
XM1014 \| Zombie Offensive (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 250	$0.61 1.23 coins	2.1%	28	24.0	1.16×
Sawed-Off \| Brake Light (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 200	$0.57 1.14 coins	2.5%	24	30.0	0.80×
Sawed-Off \| Amber Fade (Factory New)weapon · 1	1 in 100	$0.41 0.82 coins	3.5%	55	60.1	0.92×
Sawed-Off \| Clay Ambush (Factory New)weapon · Common	1 in 100	$0.34 0.68 coins	2.9%	68	60.1	1.13×
Sawed-Off \| Yorick (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 100	$0.26 0.52 coins	2.2%	63	60.1	1.05×
Sawed-Off \| Zander (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 100	$0.22 0.44 coins	1.9%	57	60.1	0.95×
Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade	25.0%	$0.15 0.31 coins	33.4%	1,512	1502.2	1.01×
Sawed-Off \| Spirit Board (Factory New)weapon · Rare	25.0%	$0.13 0.26 coins	28.0%	1,501	1502.2	1.00×
MP9 \| Bioleak (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 20	$0.06 0.12 coins	2.6%	276	300.4	0.92×
MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer	1 in 20	$0.04 0.09 coins	1.9%	316	300.4	1.05×
MP9 \| Slide (Factory New)weapon · Common	1 in 20	$0.04 0.07 coins	1.5%	280	300.4	0.93×
MP9 \| Orange Peel (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	10.0%	$0.03 0.05 coins	2.2%	594	600.9	0.99×
MP9 \| Modest Threat (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 20	$0.02 0.04 coins	0.9%	332	300.4	1.11×
MP9 \| Slide (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer	1 in 20	$0.02 0.04 coins	0.9%	279	300.4	0.93×
MP9 \| Featherweight (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 20	$0.01 0.02 coins	0.4%	324	300.4	1.08×
MP9 \| Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 20	<$0.01 0.01 coins	0.2%	296	300.4	0.99×

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Dual Berettas | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$0.130.26 coins$22.6945.37 coins174.5x6d

Dual Berettas | Black Limba (Factory New)weapon · blue$0.130.26 coins$10.3420.68 coins79.54x6d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.130.26 coins$0.020.04 coins0.15x56m

Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grademintuki$0.130.26 coins$0.150.31 coins1.19x56m

MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.130.26 coins$0.020.04 coins0.15x56m

Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade$0.130.26 coins$0.150.31 coins1.19x56m

MP9 | Orange Peel (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$0.130.26 coins$0.030.05 coins0.19x56m

MP9 | Slide (Factory New)weapon · Common$0.130.26 coins$0.040.07 coins0.27x56m

MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.130.26 coins$0.020.04 coins0.15x56m

MP9 | Orange Peel (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$0.130.26 coins$0.030.05 coins0.19x57m

Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Factory New)weapon · Raremintuki$0.130.26 coins$0.130.26 coins1.00x57m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.36%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$0.13	89.36%	24

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 1.0%restricted 0.0%classified 0.0%mil spec 6.0%industrial 10.0%blue 0.5%Legendary 0.0%violet 0.4%Common 6.0%#4b69ff 1.0%Industrial Grade 25.0%Rare 25.0%milspec 15.0%consumer 10.0%best hit $22.69 (174.5x)