Rain Farm
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.13
0.25 coins
Advertised RTP
88.50%
EV $0.11 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.46%
7,273 openings, odds method
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,281 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charm | Lil' SAScharm · #4b69ff | 12.5% | $0.50 1 coins | 56.5% | 930 | 910.1 | 1.02× |
| UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)weapon · blue | 12.5% | $0.26 0.52 coins | 29.4% | 914 | 910.1 | 1.00× |
| MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear)weapon · #87c7ff | 12.5% | $0.06 0.11 coins | 6.2% | 884 | 910.1 | 0.97× |
| AUG | Sweeper (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common | 12.5% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 2.8% | 858 | 910.1 | 0.94× |
| Nova | Mandrel (Field-Tested)weapon · Common | 12.5% | $0.02 0.04 coins | 2.3% | 928 | 910.1 | 1.02× |
| UMP-45 | Mudder (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer | 12.5% | $0.01 0.03 coins | 1.7% | 910 | 910.1 | 1.00× |
| P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 12.5% | <$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.6% | 957 | 910.1 | 1.05× |
| FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 12.5% | <$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.6% | 900 | 910.1 | 0.99× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.13 | 88.50% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#4b69ff 37.5%blue 12.5%#87c7ff 12.5%Common 25.0%consumer 12.5%best hit —